Casual Layered Analysis Masterclass
Futuribles International
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Objectifs
Causal Layered Analysis (abbreviated as CLA) is one of the most innovative approaches in futures studies and foresight since the end of the 1990s. It is used to create alternative futures. The masterclass will consist of presentations, case studies and workshops allowing participants to experiment the approach.
CLA assumes four levels of reality, each equally important: the litany or the day-to-day unquestioned reality — headlines and data; the systemic or social causation level in which reality is accounted for and solutions offered; the worldview or discourse level wherein multiple perspectives and stakeholder positions are included; and the deepest level of myth and metaphor linked to culture that creates worldviews and where long-term transformation often occurs. CLA goes up and down these layers of analysis searching for solutions and strategies, finding new stories with accompanying new litanies.
CLA has been developed over the past thirty years and now is used throughout the world, and in particular in Asia, in a number of settings: (1) as a way to deepen analysis so that policy solutions and innovative strategies are more inclusive, broader and successful, (2) as a strategy tool to deepen and broaden traditional business and executive strategic thinking, (3) as a tool to create structured conversations around gaps in policymaking, (4) as a tool for fleshing out backcasts, to ensure that they are robust, (5) as part of incasting scenarios, (6) as a way for practitioners to gain self-reflection on their core narratives, and (7) as a research tool for doctoral students.
CLA has been used, for example, in projects with international police, city councils, professional associations, large multinational corporations, small and medium-sized enterprises, and national governments. Topics have included terrorism, the knowledge revolution, libraries, quality and safety in health, bio-security, university futures and education policy.
The masterclass will be conducted in English.
CLA assumes four levels of reality, each equally important: the litany or the day-to-day unquestioned reality — headlines and data; the systemic or social causation level in which reality is accounted for and solutions offered; the worldview or discourse level wherein multiple perspectives and stakeholder positions are included; and the deepest level of myth and metaphor linked to culture that creates worldviews and where long-term transformation often occurs. CLA goes up and down these layers of analysis searching for solutions and strategies, finding new stories with accompanying new litanies.
CLA has been developed over the past thirty years and now is used throughout the world, and in particular in Asia, in a number of settings: (1) as a way to deepen analysis so that policy solutions and innovative strategies are more inclusive, broader and successful, (2) as a strategy tool to deepen and broaden traditional business and executive strategic thinking, (3) as a tool to create structured conversations around gaps in policymaking, (4) as a tool for fleshing out backcasts, to ensure that they are robust, (5) as part of incasting scenarios, (6) as a way for practitioners to gain self-reflection on their core narratives, and (7) as a research tool for doctoral students.
CLA has been used, for example, in projects with international police, city councils, professional associations, large multinational corporations, small and medium-sized enterprises, and national governments. Topics have included terrorism, the knowledge revolution, libraries, quality and safety in health, bio-security, university futures and education policy.
The masterclass will be conducted in English.
Programme
9.15-9.30 – Tea/Coffee
9.30-10.00 – Welcome and introduction
10.00-11.00 – Causal layered analysis: A four-level approach to alternative futures
• CLA in the context of the Six Pillars approach
• CLA and futures thinking as a learning journey
• CLA theory – framework, genealogy
11.00-11.15 – Tea/Coffee
11.15-12.00 – Examples of the application of CLA, including but not limited to
• International development banking
• The energy transition to renewables
• Interpol and policing
• Higher education
• Gender equity
12.00-13.00 – The CLA game – Learning through the four levels
Interactive real-time game to explore solutions
13h00-14h30 – Lunch together
14.30-16.30 – Using CLA
• Action learning, participants experiment on a policy or research question
• Types of CLA with a focus on inner CLA or the CLA of the self
• Link to other methods such as macrohistory and the Sarkar Game
16.30-16.45 – Tea/Coffee
16.45-17.30 – Reflections and action learning projects
9.30-10.00 – Welcome and introduction
10.00-11.00 – Causal layered analysis: A four-level approach to alternative futures
• CLA in the context of the Six Pillars approach
• CLA and futures thinking as a learning journey
• CLA theory – framework, genealogy
11.00-11.15 – Tea/Coffee
11.15-12.00 – Examples of the application of CLA, including but not limited to
• International development banking
• The energy transition to renewables
• Interpol and policing
• Higher education
• Gender equity
12.00-13.00 – The CLA game – Learning through the four levels
Interactive real-time game to explore solutions
13h00-14h30 – Lunch together
14.30-16.30 – Using CLA
• Action learning, participants experiment on a policy or research question
• Types of CLA with a focus on inner CLA or the CLA of the self
• Link to other methods such as macrohistory and the Sarkar Game
16.30-16.45 – Tea/Coffee
16.45-17.30 – Reflections and action learning projects
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